UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Thatch vs Bahadurzada

2,017

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Thatch

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
55% chance Thatch
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brandon Thatch
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly fast finishes 9.8 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 189 cm vs 184 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Siyar Bahadurzada
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Thatch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bahadurzada’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brandon
Thatch
In 7:43, how much damage will he do? Thatch Bahadurzada
Significant Strikes40
Thatch's good striking offense may be a factor against Bahadurzada's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:43
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Thatch's average takedown offense is matched by Bahadurzada's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thatch has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Thatch is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Thatch is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Bahadurzada on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thatch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Siyar
Bahadurzada
In 7:43, how much damage will he do? Bahadurzada Thatch
Significant Strikes34
Bahadurzada's average striking offense is matched by Thatch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:43
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bahadurzada's average takedown offense is matched by Thatch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:43
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bahadurzada has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bahadurzada is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bahadurzada is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Thatch 8.9
fighter Bahadurzada 8.4
Great striking by Thatch
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Thiago
17 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Edwards

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Thatch 8.6
fighter Bahadurzada 8.0
Great takedowns by Thatch
1 takedown Aug 28, 2013 vs Edwards

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Thatch 9.0
fighter Bahadurzada 8.9
Great knockouts by Thatch
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Thiago
Round 1 Aug 28, 2013 vs Edwards
Round 1 Dec 02, 2011 vs Vallee

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Thatch 7.7
fighter Bahadurzada 7.0
Great submissions by Thatch
Round 1 Mar 22, 2013 vs Rhodes
Round 1 Jun 29, 2012 vs Grandmont
Round 1 Aug 27, 2010 vs Davis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Thatch 9.8
fighter Bahadurzada 9.1
Fast finishes by Thatch
130 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Thiago
83 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Edwards
15 seconds Dec 02, 2011 vs Vallee
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 5, 2016UFC 196
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Thatch
legend Bahadurzada
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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