UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mein vs MacDonald

2,059

CageRank

WINNER
MacDonald

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance MacDonald
WILL WIN

2,198

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rory MacDonald
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly longer reach 194 cm vs 187 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Jordan Mein
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mein’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rory
MacDonald
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? MacDonald Mein
Significant Strikes93
MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
MacDonald's good takedown offense may be a factor against Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Mein on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jordan
Mein
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mein MacDonald
Significant Strikes61
Mein's good striking offense is matched by MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mein's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mein has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mein is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mein is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter MacDonald 9.1
fighter Mein 8.7
Great striking by MacDonald
46 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Ellenberger
116 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
24 strikes Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter MacDonald 8.8
fighter Mein 7.7
Great takedowns by MacDonald
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
7 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Diaz
2 takedowns Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter MacDonald 8.2
fighter Mein 8.7
Great knockouts by Mein
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Miller
Round 1 Nov 23, 2012 vs Petz
Round 2 Jan 28, 2011 vs Riggs

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter MacDonald 7.5
fighter Mein 6.8
Great submissions by MacDonald
Round 1 Jan 11, 2010 vs Guymon
Round 1 Jun 17, 2006 vs Mein
Round 1 Oct 15, 2005 vs Thiara

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter MacDonald 8.4
fighter Mein 8.4
Fast finishes by Mein
282 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Miller
89 seconds Nov 23, 2012 vs Petz
570 seconds Jan 28, 2011 vs Riggs
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,5431,588
1,4991,632
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend MacDonald
legend Mein
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus