UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mein vs Brown

2,059

CageRank

WINNER
Brown

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Brown
WILL WIN

2,072

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Matt Brown
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 191 cm vs 187 cm Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Jordan Mein
Significantly younger 28 years vs 36 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mein’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Brown
In 12:37, how much damage will he do? Brown Mein
Significant Strikes79
Brown's excellent striking offense will dominate Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:37
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Brown's average takedown offense is matched by Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Mein on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jordan
Mein
In 12:37, how much damage will he do? Mein Brown
Significant Strikes50
Mein's good striking offense is matched by Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 114 Significant Strikes in 12:37
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mein's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:37
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mein has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mein is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mein is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Brown 9.1
fighter Mein 8.7
Great striking by Brown
10 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
40 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
25 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Brown 8.1
fighter Mein 7.7
Great takedowns by Brown
1 takedown Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick
5 takedowns Apr 21, 2012 vs Thompson
3 takedowns Jun 26, 2011 vs Howard

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Brown 9.3
fighter Mein 8.7
Great knockouts by Brown
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
Round 2 Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Brown 6.8
fighter Mein 6.8
Great submissions by Brown
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Thomas
Round 1 Oct 20, 2006 vs Nickoson
Round 1 May 20, 2006 vs King

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Brown 8.5
fighter Mein 8.4
Fast finishes by Brown
29 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
360 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
451 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 20, 2013UFC on Fox 7
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R2 KOX
2,0841,945
2,0152,014
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Brown
legend Mein
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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