UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mein vs Alves

2,059

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mein

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Mein
WILL WIN

2,049

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jordan Mein
Significantly longer reach 187 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 27 years vs 33 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Slightly fast finishes 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Thiago Alves
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Mein on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alves’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jordan
Mein
In 13:13, how much damage will he do? Mein Alves
Significant Strikes65
Mein's good striking offense may be a factor against Alves's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 119 Significant Strikes in 13:13
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mein's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Alves's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:13
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mein has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mein is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mein is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Alves on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mein’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Alves
In 13:13, how much damage will he do? Alves Mein
Significant Strikes80
Alves's excellent striking offense will dominate Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 119 Significant Strikes in 13:13
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Alves's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mein's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:13
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alves is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alves is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alves is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mein 8.7
fighter Alves 9.0
Great striking by Alves
80 strikes Oct 25, 2008 vs Koscheck
10 strikes Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
17 strikes Apr 02, 2008 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mein 7.7
fighter Alves 7.9
Great takedowns by Alves
2 takedowns Dec 11, 2010 vs Howard
1 takedown Jun 07, 2008 vs Hughes
1 takedown Nov 19, 2005 vs Chalangov

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mein 8.7
fighter Alves 8.0
Great knockouts by Mein
Round 1 Mar 16, 2013 vs Miller
Round 1 Nov 23, 2012 vs Petz
Round 2 Jan 28, 2011 vs Riggs

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mein 6.8
fighter Alves 6.9
Great submissions by Alves
Round 1 Nov 05, 2011 vs Abedi
Round 1 Nov 20, 2004 vs Chambers

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mein 8.4
fighter Alves 8.3
Fast finishes by Mein
282 seconds Mar 16, 2013 vs Miller
89 seconds Nov 23, 2012 vs Petz
570 seconds Jan 28, 2011 vs Riggs
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 31, 2015UFC 183
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mein
legend Alves
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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