UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Freitag vs Moreno

1,486

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Freitag

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
59% chance Freitag
WILL WIN

1,424

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jeremy Freitag
Much better submission defense 8.5 vs 6.6 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
A lot taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.2 vs 7.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Paul Moreno
Significantly stronger jaw 7.8 vs 7.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Freitag on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moreno’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Freitag
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Freitag is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Freitag has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Freitag has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Moreno on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Freitag’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Moreno
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moreno is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Moreno is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moreno has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 5, 2006WEC 20
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,5501,450
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Freitag
legend Moreno
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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