UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sampo vs Scoggins

1,826

CageRank

WINNER
Scoggins

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Scoggins
WILL WIN

1,836

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Scoggins
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.4 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 170 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly younger 25 years vs 33 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer winning streak 4 fights vs 3 fights Around 35% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Josh Sampo
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Scoggins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sampo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Scoggins
In 11:23, how much damage will he do? Scoggins Sampo
Significant Strikes53
Scoggins's average striking offense is matched by Sampo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:23
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Scoggins's good takedown offense may be a factor against Sampo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:23
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Scoggins has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Scoggins is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Scoggins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Sampo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Scoggins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Sampo
In 11:23, how much damage will he do? Sampo Scoggins
Significant Strikes42
Sampo's average striking offense is matched by Scoggins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:23
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sampo's average takedown offense is matched by Scoggins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sampo is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Sampo is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sampo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Scoggins 8.5
fighter Sampo 8.3
Great striking by Scoggins
27 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Scoggins 8.8
fighter Sampo 8.4
Great takedowns by Scoggins
2 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Scoggins 8.5
fighter Sampo 6.4
Great knockouts by Scoggins
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik
Round 1 Mar 08, 2013 vs Cain
Round 5 Dec 07, 2012 vs Hebeisen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Scoggins 6.6
fighter Sampo 8.0
Great submissions by Sampo
Round 2 Nov 30, 2013 vs Benoit
Round 5 Jan 19, 2013 vs Vila
Round 3 Jun 11, 2010 vs Rosenbaum

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Scoggins 8.0
fighter Sampo 7.4
Fast finishes by Scoggins
283 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik
237 seconds Mar 08, 2013 vs Cain
1425 seconds Dec 07, 2012 vs Hebeisen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 23, 2015UFC 187
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Scoggins
legend Sampo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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