UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Waterson vs Rousey

1,800

CageRank

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
83% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier hands 7.4 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 168 cm vs 160 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 134 lbs vs 114 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Michelle Waterson
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Waterson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 3:18, how much damage will she do? Rousey Waterson
Significant Strikes15
Rousey's average striking offense is matched by Waterson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 30 Significant Strikes in 3:18
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate Waterson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:18
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Waterson on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michelle
Waterson
In 3:18, how much damage will she do? Waterson Rousey
Significant Strikes17
Waterson's good striking offense may be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 30 Significant Strikes in 3:18
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Waterson's good takedown offense is matched by Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:18
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Waterson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Waterson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Waterson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter Waterson 8.7
Great striking by Waterson
12 strikes Oct 03, 2008 vs Parker

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter Waterson 8.9
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter Waterson 6.8
Great knockouts by Rousey
Round 1 Aug 01, 2015 vs Correia
Round 1 Jul 05, 2014 vs Davis
Round 1 Feb 22, 2014 vs McMann

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter Waterson 8.2
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter Waterson 8.1
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend Waterson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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