UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Waterson vs Parker

1,800

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Waterson

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Waterson
WILL WIN

1,486

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michelle Waterson
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Tyra Parker
Younger 28 years vs 31 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 6.9 vs 6.8 Almost the same
Heavier 125 lbs vs 114 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Waterson on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Parker’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michelle
Waterson
In 7:38, how much damage will she do? Waterson Parker
Significant Strikes44
Waterson's good striking offense may be a factor against Parker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:38
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Waterson's good takedown offense may be a factor against Parker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:38
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Waterson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Waterson has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Waterson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Parker on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Waterson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyra
Parker
In 7:38, how much damage will he do? Parker Waterson
Significant Strikes30
Parker's average striking offense is matched by Waterson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Parker's average takedown offense is matched by Waterson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Parker is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Parker is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Parker is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Waterson 8.7
fighter Parker 8.3
Great striking by Waterson
12 strikes Oct 03, 2008 vs Parker

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Waterson 8.9
fighter Parker 8.3
Great takedowns by Waterson
1 takedown Oct 03, 2008 vs Parker

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Waterson 6.8
fighter Parker 6.9
Great knockouts by Parker
Round 1 May 31, 2014 vs Marie Lamb
Round 3 Jul 28, 2007 vs Davis

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Waterson 8.2
fighter Parker 7.1
Great submissions by Waterson
Round 4 Apr 05, 2013 vs Penne
Round 1 Jan 21, 2012 vs Rael
Round 1 Sep 15, 2007 vs Cook

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Waterson 8.1
fighter Parker 7.4
Fast finishes by Waterson
1051 seconds Apr 05, 2013 vs Penne
132 seconds Jan 21, 2012 vs Rael
93 seconds Sep 15, 2007 vs Cook
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 3, 2008Strikeforce - Payback
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,5741,466
1,6091,431
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Waterson
legend Parker
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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