UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Casey vs Aguilar

1,697

CageRank

WINNER
Aguilar

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
88% chance Aguilar
WILL WIN

2,042

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jessica Aguilar
Much better submission defense 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Cortney Casey
Much heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Aguilar on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Casey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jessica
Aguilar
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aguilar is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aguilar has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Aguilar has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Casey on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aguilar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cortney
Casey
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Casey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Casey is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Casey is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aguilar 6.5
fighter Casey 7.3
Great knockouts by Casey
Round 1 Jul 13, 2016 vs Stanciu
Round 1 Jun 27, 2014 vs Maesawa
Round 1 Feb 25, 2012 vs Yoder

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aguilar 7.9
fighter Casey 7.5
Great submissions by Aguilar
Round 1 Jan 18, 2014 vs Gray
Round 1 Aug 12, 2010 vs Alvarez
Round 3 Mar 22, 2008 vs Magana

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aguilar 7.8
fighter Casey 7.8
Fast finishes by Casey
39 seconds Jun 27, 2014 vs Maesawa
213 seconds Jun 14, 2013 vs Warren
149 seconds Feb 25, 2012 vs Yoder
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aguilar
legend Casey
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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