UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Goes vs Sakuraba

1,769

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Goes

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Goes
WILL WIN

1,676

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Allan Goes
Much heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better striker 8.0 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier 205 lbs vs 166 lbs Around 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 45 years vs 47 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Kazushi Sakuraba
Much stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Goes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sakuraba’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Allan
Goes
In 11:17, how much damage will he do? Goes Sakuraba
Significant Strikes41
Goes's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:17
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Goes's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sakuraba's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Goes is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Goes is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Goes is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Sakuraba on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Goes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kazushi
Sakuraba
In 11:17, how much damage will he do? Sakuraba Goes
Significant Strikes20
Sakuraba's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Goes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:17
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Sakuraba's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Goes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:17
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Sakuraba has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sakuraba is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Goes 8.0
fighter Sakuraba 7.4
Great striking by Goes
40 strikes Jun 04, 2000 vs White
3 strikes Nov 21, 1999 vs Ognibene

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Goes 8.6
fighter Sakuraba 7.8
Great takedowns by Goes
3 takedowns Jun 04, 2000 vs White
2 takedowns Nov 21, 1999 vs Ognibene

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Goes 7.3
fighter Sakuraba 6.2
Great knockouts by Goes
Round 2 Apr 07, 2007 vs Moore
Round 2 Nov 02, 2006 vs Gracie

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Goes 7.9
fighter Sakuraba 8.1
Great submissions by Sakuraba
Round 1 Aug 05, 2006 vs Smirnovas
Round 1 Dec 31, 2005 vs Minowa
Round 3 Nov 09, 2003 vs Randleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Goes 8.0
fighter Sakuraba 7.6
Fast finishes by Goes
476 seconds Apr 07, 2007 vs Moore
125 seconds Sep 09, 2006 vs Cole
232 seconds Oct 18, 1996 vs Macias
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 11, 1998Pride 4
team
VS
team
XX
XR1 SUB
1,6251,628
1,6251,628
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Goes
legend Sakuraba
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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