UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jury vs Oropeza

2,085

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Jury

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
76% chance Jury
WILL WIN

1,881

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Myles Jury
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 30 years vs 33 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Sam Oropeza
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier 183 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 7.8 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Jury on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oropeza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Myles
Jury
In 9:30, how much damage will he do? Jury Oropeza
Significant Strikes36
Jury's average striking offense is matched by Oropeza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:30
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Jury's good takedown offense may be a factor against Oropeza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:30
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jury is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jury has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Jury is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Oropeza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jury’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Oropeza
In 9:30, how much damage will he do? Oropeza Jury
Significant Strikes37
Oropeza's average striking offense won't be a factor against Jury's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:30
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Oropeza's average takedown offense is matched by Jury's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oropeza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Oropeza is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Oropeza is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jury 8.2
fighter Oropeza 8.6
Great striking by Oropeza
32 strikes Feb 12, 2011 vs Carlo-Clauss

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jury 8.8
fighter Oropeza 8.7
Great takedowns by Jury
4 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Ricci
2 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Nijem
3 takedowns Dec 29, 2012 vs Johnson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jury 7.9
fighter Oropeza 8.5
Great knockouts by Oropeza
Round 1 Nov 15, 2013 vs Moraza-Pollard
Round 1 Sep 20, 2013 vs Oteri
Round 2 Apr 04, 2013 vs Goodridge

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jury 7.6
fighter Oropeza 7.8
Great submissions by Oropeza
Round 2 Mar 16, 2012 vs La N Sang
Round 1 Feb 12, 2011 vs Carlo-Clauss
Round 1 May 14, 2010 vs Ramos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jury 8.7
fighter Oropeza 8.9
Fast finishes by Oropeza
212 seconds Sep 20, 2013 vs Oteri
250 seconds Feb 12, 2011 vs Carlo-Clauss
50 seconds May 14, 2010 vs Ramos
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 17, 2010KOTC - No Mercy
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R3 KOX
1,8761,704
1,9031,677
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jury
legend Oropeza
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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