UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rivera vs Moraes

2,033

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Rivera

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
58% chance Rivera
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jimmie Rivera
Much longer winning streak 13 fights vs 3 fights More than 4.2x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 28 years vs 30 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Marlon Moraes
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 6.7 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% taller
Rivera on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Moraes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jimmie
Rivera
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rivera is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rivera is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Rivera has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Moraes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rivera’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marlon
Moraes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moraes is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Moraes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moraes is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rivera 6.5
fighter Moraes 7.9
Great knockouts by Moraes
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
Round 1 Apr 13, 2012 vs Card

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rivera 6.9
fighter Moraes 6.9
Great submissions by Moraes
Round 1 Apr 08, 2011 vs Bixler
Round 1 Oct 02, 2010 vs Joannes
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Santana

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rivera 6.7
fighter Moraes 8.3
Fast finishes by Moraes
32 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Beebe
175 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Nam
47 seconds Apr 13, 2012 vs Card
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rivera
legend Moraes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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