UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kimura vs Gagnon

1,832

CageRank

WINNER
Gagnon

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
61% chance Gagnon
WILL WIN

1,911

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mitch Gagnon
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Dustin Kimura
Significantly heavier 136 lbs vs 134 lbs Almost the same
Significantly heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.4 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 28 years vs 33 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Gagnon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kimura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitch
Gagnon
In 10:12, how much damage will he do? Gagnon Kimura
Significant Strikes55
Gagnon's good striking offense may be a factor against Kimura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:12
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Gagnon's average takedown offense is matched by Kimura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:12
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gagnon is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gagnon has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gagnon is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Kimura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gagnon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Kimura
In 10:12, how much damage will he do? Kimura Gagnon
Significant Strikes41
Kimura's average striking offense is matched by Gagnon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:12
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Kimura's average takedown offense is matched by Gagnon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:12
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kimura is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kimura has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kimura is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gagnon 8.7
fighter Kimura 8.4
Great striking by Gagnon
27 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Kimura
5 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Watson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gagnon 8.5
fighter Kimura 8.1
Great takedowns by Gagnon
1 takedown Sep 21, 2013 vs Kimura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gagnon 6.4
fighter Kimura 7.0
Great knockouts by Kimura
Round 3 Nov 17, 2012 vs Delumeau
Round 2 Sep 08, 2012 vs Pereira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gagnon 9.0
fighter Kimura 8.5
Great submissions by Gagnon
Round 1 Sep 21, 2013 vs Kimura
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs Harris
Round 3 Apr 09, 2011 vs Groulx

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gagnon 8.6
fighter Kimura 8.2
Fast finishes by Gagnon
245 seconds Sep 21, 2013 vs Kimura
69 seconds Sep 22, 2012 vs Watson
129 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs Harris
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 21, 2013UFC 165
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R1 SUBX
1,9341,820
1,8681,886
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gagnon
legend Kimura
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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