UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barberena vs Ellenberger

1,832

CageRank

WINNER
Ellenberger

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Ellenberger
WILL WIN

1,966

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joe Ellenberger
Much better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Bryan Barberena
Significantly heavier hands 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Ellenberger on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barberena’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Ellenberger
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ellenberger has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ellenberger is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ellenberger is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Barberena on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ellenberger’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryan
Barberena
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barberena has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barberena is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Barberena is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ellenberger 8.1
fighter Barberena 8.6
Great knockouts by Barberena
Round 3 Aug 23, 2013 vs Marquez
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Olson
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Thiedeman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ellenberger 7.4
fighter Barberena 6.5
Great submissions by Ellenberger
Round 3 Mar 02, 2012 vs Zeugin
Round 1 May 01, 2009 vs Martin
Round 1 Jun 23, 2007 vs Delasta

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ellenberger 8.3
fighter Barberena 7.5
Fast finishes by Ellenberger
214 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Wilk
238 seconds Jul 24, 2009 vs Wilk
184 seconds May 01, 2009 vs Martin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 13, 2014UFC on Fox 13
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ellenberger
legend Barberena
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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