UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barberena vs Smith

1,832

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Barberena

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
78% chance Barberena
WILL WIN

1,615

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bryan Barberena
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 7.5 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Derek Smith
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Barberena on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryan
Barberena
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barberena has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Barberena is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Barberena is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barberena’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Derek
Smith
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barberena 8.6
fighter Smith 7.0
Great knockouts by Barberena
Round 3 Aug 23, 2013 vs Marquez
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Olson
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Thiedeman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barberena 6.5
fighter Smith 7.2
Great submissions by Smith
Round 2 Sep 08, 2012 vs Delgado
Round 3 Feb 06, 2010 vs Barberena
Round 2 Dec 19, 2009 vs Hicks

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barberena 7.5
fighter Smith 7.3
Fast finishes by Barberena
737 seconds Jan 11, 2014 vs Hill
823 seconds Aug 23, 2013 vs Marquez
564 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Olson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
R1 KOX
1,6231,596
1,5691,650
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barberena
legend Smith
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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