UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barberena vs Covington

1,832

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Barberena

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
71% chance Barberena
WILL WIN

1,680

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bryan Barberena
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 6.7 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Colby Covington
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.5 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Barberena on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Covington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryan
Barberena
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barberena has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Barberena is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Barberena has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Covington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barberena’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Colby
Covington
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Covington is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Covington has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Covington has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Barberena 8.6
fighter Covington 6.7
Great knockouts by Barberena
Round 3 Aug 23, 2013 vs Marquez
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Olson
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Thiedeman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Barberena 6.5
fighter Covington 7.8
Great submissions by Covington
Round 2 Apr 27, 2012 vs Hayes
Round 1 Feb 11, 2012 vs Ensley
Round 1 Aug 26, 2006 vs Rocha

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Barberena 7.5
fighter Covington 7.5
Fast finishes by Barberena
737 seconds Jan 11, 2014 vs Hill
823 seconds Aug 23, 2013 vs Marquez
564 seconds Oct 29, 2010 vs Olson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 17, 2016UFC on Fox 22
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Barberena
legend Covington
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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