UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Barberena vs Alves

1,832

CageRank

WINNER
Alves

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Alves
WILL WIN

1,843

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Warlley Alves
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 26 years vs 28 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Bryan Barberena
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Alves on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Barberena’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Warlley
Alves
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alves is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Alves has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Alves is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Barberena on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Alves’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bryan
Barberena
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Barberena has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Barberena is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Barberena is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Alves 7.0
fighter Barberena 8.6
Great knockouts by Barberena
Round 3 Aug 23, 2013 vs Marquez
Round 2 Oct 29, 2010 vs Olson
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Thiedeman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Alves 8.5
fighter Barberena 6.5
Great submissions by Alves
Round 1 Jun 01, 2013 vs Moreira
Round 2 Dec 13, 2012 vs Alberto Bazan Rojas
Round 1 Sep 18, 2010 vs Bastos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Alves 8.2
fighter Barberena 7.5
Fast finishes by Alves
118 seconds Aug 24, 2013 vs Jackson
48 seconds Jun 01, 2013 vs Moreira
348 seconds Dec 13, 2012 vs Alberto Bazan Rojas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 14, 2016UFC 198
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Alves
legend Barberena
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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