UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Garcia vs Pyle

1,946

CageRank

WINNER
Pyle

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
70% chance Pyle
WILL WIN

2,098

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mike Pyle
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Alex Garcia
Significantly younger 31 years vs 42 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Slightly fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Pyle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Garcia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Pyle
In 9:48, how much damage will he do? Pyle Garcia
Significant Strikes40
Pyle's average striking offense is matched by Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:48
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pyle's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:48
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pyle has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pyle is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pyle is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Garcia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pyle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Garcia
In 9:48, how much damage will he do? Garcia Pyle
Significant Strikes56
Garcia's good striking offense may be a factor against Pyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:48
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Garcia's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Pyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:48
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Garcia is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Garcia is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Garcia is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pyle 8.3
fighter Garcia 8.7
Great striking by Garcia
9 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pyle 8.1
fighter Garcia 7.9
Great knockouts by Pyle
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Head
Round 1 Jun 08, 2012 vs Neer
Round 1 Mar 03, 2006 vs Machado

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pyle 7.8
fighter Garcia 7.7
Great submissions by Pyle
Round 3 Jun 12, 2010 vs Lennox
Round 3 Sep 16, 2009 vs Wilson
Round 1 May 18, 2008 vs Hornbuckle

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pyle 8.5
fighter Garcia 8.6
Fast finishes by Garcia
43 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
102 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Heatherly
34 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 30, 2016UFC 207
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pyle
legend Garcia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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