UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Garcia vs McGee

1,946

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Garcia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
57% chance Garcia
WILL WIN

1,899

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alex Garcia
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Court McGee
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Garcia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Garcia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Garcia McGee
Significant Strikes84
Garcia's good striking offense may be a factor against McGee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Garcia's average takedown offense won't be a factor against McGee's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Garcia is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Garcia is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Garcia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
McGee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Garcia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Court
McGee
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? McGee Garcia
Significant Strikes85
McGee's excellent striking offense will dominate Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
McGee's average takedown offense is matched by Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGee is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
McGee is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGee is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Garcia 8.7
fighter McGee 9.0
Great striking by McGee
88 strikes Aug 28, 2013 vs Whittaker
166 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Neer
62 strikes Sep 17, 2011 vs Yang

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Garcia 8.3
fighter McGee 8.5
Great takedowns by McGee
1 takedown Aug 28, 2013 vs Whittaker
2 takedowns Feb 23, 2013 vs Neer
2 takedowns Sep 17, 2011 vs Yang

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Garcia 7.9
fighter McGee 7.1
Great knockouts by Garcia
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Round 1 Apr 10, 2010 vs MacIntosh

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Garcia 7.7
fighter McGee 7.4
Great submissions by Garcia
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Heatherly
Round 1 Nov 13, 2010 vs Jackson
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Goodall

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Garcia 8.6
fighter McGee 7.5
Fast finishes by Garcia
43 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
102 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Heatherly
34 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Garcia
legend McGee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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