UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Garcia vs LaFlare

1,946

CageRank

WINNER
LaFlare

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
60% chance LaFlare
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ryan LaFlare
Much taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Alex Garcia
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
LaFlare on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Garcia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
LaFlare
In 11:56, how much damage will he do? LaFlare Garcia
Significant Strikes55
LaFlare's average striking offense is matched by Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:56
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
LaFlare's good takedown offense may be a factor against Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:56
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
LaFlare has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
LaFlare is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
LaFlare has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Garcia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against LaFlare’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Garcia
In 11:56, how much damage will he do? Garcia LaFlare
Significant Strikes53
Garcia's good striking offense may be a factor against LaFlare's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:56
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Garcia's average takedown offense is matched by LaFlare's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Garcia is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Garcia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Garcia is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter LaFlare 8.6
fighter Garcia 8.7
Great striking by Garcia
9 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter LaFlare 9.1
fighter Garcia 8.3
Great takedowns by LaFlare
4 takedowns Dec 14, 2013 vs McGee
5 takedowns Nov 09, 2013 vs Ponzinibbio
6 takedowns Apr 06, 2013 vs Alloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter LaFlare 7.7
fighter Garcia 7.9
Great knockouts by Garcia
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Round 1 Apr 10, 2010 vs MacIntosh

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter LaFlare 7.4
fighter Garcia 7.7
Great submissions by Garcia
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Heatherly
Round 1 Nov 13, 2010 vs Jackson
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Goodall

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter LaFlare 7.9
fighter Garcia 8.6
Fast finishes by Garcia
43 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
102 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Heatherly
34 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend LaFlare
legend Garcia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus