UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Garcia vs Covington

1,946

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Garcia

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
82% chance Garcia
WILL WIN

1,680

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alex Garcia
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for Colby Covington
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Garcia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Covington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Garcia
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Garcia has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Garcia has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Garcia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Covington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Garcia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Colby
Covington
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Covington is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Covington is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Covington is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Garcia 7.9
fighter Covington 6.7
Great knockouts by Garcia
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Round 1 Apr 10, 2010 vs MacIntosh

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Garcia 7.7
fighter Covington 7.8
Great submissions by Covington
Round 2 Apr 27, 2012 vs Hayes
Round 1 Feb 11, 2012 vs Ensley
Round 1 Aug 26, 2006 vs Rocha

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Garcia 8.6
fighter Covington 7.5
Fast finishes by Garcia
43 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
102 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Heatherly
34 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Garcia
legend Covington
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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