UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Garcia vs Heatherly

1,946

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Garcia

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
67% chance Garcia
WILL WIN

1,820

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alex Garcia
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Chris Heatherly
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 180 lbs vs 170 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Garcia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Heatherly’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Garcia
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Garcia has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Garcia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Garcia is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Heatherly on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Garcia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Heatherly
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Heatherly is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Heatherly has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Heatherly is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Garcia 7.9
fighter Heatherly 6.8
Great knockouts by Garcia
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Round 1 Apr 10, 2010 vs MacIntosh

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Garcia 7.7
fighter Heatherly 8.1
Great submissions by Heatherly
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Cochrane
Round 1 Nov 03, 2012 vs Woods
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Colter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Garcia 8.6
fighter Heatherly 7.9
Fast finishes by Garcia
43 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
102 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Heatherly
34 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,8181,690
1,8501,658
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Garcia
legend Heatherly
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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