UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Garcia vs Wall

1,946

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Garcia

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
76% chance Garcia
WILL WIN

1,747

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alex Garcia
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 6.8 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 7.8 vs 6.5 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 170 lbs vs 153 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Ben Wall
Slightly younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Garcia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wall’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Garcia
In 6:38, how much damage will he do? Garcia Wall
Significant Strikes38
Garcia's good striking offense may be a factor against Wall's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:38
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Garcia's average takedown offense is matched by Wall's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Garcia has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Garcia is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Garcia is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Wall on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Garcia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ben
Wall
In 6:38, how much damage will he do? Wall Garcia
Significant Strikes26
Wall's average striking offense is matched by Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 60 Significant Strikes in 6:38
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Wall's average takedown offense is matched by Garcia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wall is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Wall is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wall has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Garcia 8.7
fighter Wall 8.3
Great striking by Garcia
9 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Garcia 7.9
fighter Wall 6.5
Great knockouts by Garcia
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
Round 1 Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Round 1 Apr 10, 2010 vs MacIntosh

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Garcia 7.7
fighter Wall 6.9
Great submissions by Garcia
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Heatherly
Round 1 Nov 13, 2010 vs Jackson
Round 1 Jun 18, 2010 vs Goodall

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Garcia 8.6
fighter Wall 6.8
Fast finishes by Garcia
43 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Wall
102 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Heatherly
34 seconds Oct 21, 2011 vs MacGrath
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,8501,832
1,8981,784
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Garcia
legend Wall
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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