UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lovato vs Marini

1,516

CageRank

WINNER
Marini

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
58% chance Marini
WILL WIN

1,573

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Simon Marini
Much stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier 184 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 35% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 32 years vs 39 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Gerald Lovato
Significantly heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.3 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Marini on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lovato’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Simon
Marini
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marini is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Marini is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Marini is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Lovato on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marini’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gerald
Lovato
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lovato is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lovato is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lovato has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Marini 6.3
fighter Lovato 7.0
Great knockouts by Lovato
Round 2 Apr 21, 2011 vs Rivas
Round 3 Mar 06, 2010 vs Buschman
Round 2 Jul 18, 2008 vs Linder

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Marini 7.5
fighter Lovato 6.8
Great submissions by Marini
Round 1 Apr 16, 2010 vs Carle
Round 1 Oct 19, 2007 vs Stojadinovic
Round 1 Aug 11, 2007 vs Turcinskas

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Marini 7.1
fighter Lovato 7.1
Fast finishes by Marini
128 seconds Apr 16, 2010 vs Carle
142 seconds Oct 19, 2007 vs Stojadinovic
197 seconds Aug 11, 2007 vs Turcinskas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 26, 2008MFC 18
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 KO
1,6101,723
1,5761,757
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Marini
legend Lovato
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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