UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gaethje vs Guillard

2,109

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gaethje

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Gaethje
WILL WIN

1,960

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Gaethje
Much better submission offense 6.6 vs 5.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Melvin Guillard
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Gaethje on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Guillard’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Gaethje
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gaethje has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gaethje is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gaethje is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Guillard on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gaethje’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Melvin
Guillard
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Guillard has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Guillard is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Guillard is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gaethje 9.7
fighter Guillard 8.9
Great knockouts by Gaethje
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
Round 3 Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gaethje 6.6
fighter Guillard 5.7
Great submissions by Gaethje
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Young
Round 1 Aug 01, 2009 vs Gonzales
Round 3 May 16, 2009 vs Rhoads

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gaethje 8.8
fighter Guillard 8.5
Fast finishes by Gaethje
400 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
739 seconds Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
147 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 15, 2014WSOF 15
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gaethje
legend Guillard
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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