UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gaethje vs Gonzales

2,109

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gaethje

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
98% chance Gaethje
WILL WIN

1,426

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Gaethje
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.2 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.2 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 6.8 More than 35% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.1 vs 6.9 More than 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.8 vs 7.1 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Kevin Gonzales
Significantly better submission offense 7.1 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Gaethje on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gonzales’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Gaethje
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gaethje has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gaethje is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Gaethje is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Gonzales on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gaethje’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Gonzales
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gonzales is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gonzales is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gonzales is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gaethje 9.7
fighter Gonzales 7.2
Great knockouts by Gaethje
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
Round 3 Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
Round 1 Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gaethje 8.8
fighter Gonzales 7.2
Fast finishes by Gaethje
400 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Lauzon
739 seconds Jun 14, 2013 vs Cobb
147 seconds Mar 23, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 1, 2009ROF 35
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,6371,452
1,6631,426
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gaethje
legend Gonzales
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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