UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Chacon vs Cerrone

1,495

CageRank

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
98% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,206

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 6.9 Around 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 6.6 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 7.7 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.8 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Cruz Chacon
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chacon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Chacon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cruz
Chacon
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chacon is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Chacon is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chacon is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Chacon 6.8
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Chacon 6.6
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Chacon 6.9
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 24, 2006ACF - Genesis
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,4251,561
1,3931,592
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Chacon
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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