UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Young vs Carmouche

1,512

CageRank

WINNER
Carmouche

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
75% chance Carmouche
WILL WIN

1,707

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Liz Carmouche
Much better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.1 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Kaitlin Young
Taller 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 142 lbs vs 125 lbs Around 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Carmouche on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Young’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Liz
Carmouche
In 10:52, how much damage will she do? Carmouche Young
Significant Strikes55
Carmouche's average striking offense is matched by Young's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Carmouche's average takedown offense is matched by Young's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carmouche has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Carmouche has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Carmouche is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Young on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Carmouche’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kaitlin
Young
In 10:52, how much damage will she do? Young Carmouche
Significant Strikes45
Young's average striking offense is matched by Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:52
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Young's average takedown offense is matched by Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Young is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Young is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Young is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Carmouche 8.5
fighter Young 8.4
Great striking by Carmouche
50 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
81 strikes Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
15 strikes Aug 13, 2010 vs Schneider

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Carmouche 7.9
fighter Young 7.6
Great knockouts by Carmouche
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
Round 3 Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Round 2 Sep 30, 2010 vs Shevchenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carmouche 7.0
fighter Young 6.1
Great submissions by Carmouche
Round 2 Jul 28, 2012 vs Young
Round 2 May 29, 2010 vs Albertson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carmouche 7.6
fighter Young 7.1
Fast finishes by Carmouche
537 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
514 seconds Jul 28, 2012 vs Young
690 seconds Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR1 KO
1,6201,720
1,5841,756
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carmouche
legend Young
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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