UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nunes vs Tate

1,791

CageRank

WINNER
Tate

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Tate
WILL WIN

1,831

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Miesha Tate
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Amanda Nunes
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier 136 lbs vs 134 lbs Almost the same
Significantly longer reach 175 cm vs 165 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 29 years vs 31 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Tate on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Nunes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Miesha
Tate
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Tate Nunes
Significant Strikes48
Tate's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Tate's good takedown offense is matched by Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tate is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Tate is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tate is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Nunes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tate’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Amanda
Nunes
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nunes Tate
Significant Strikes76
Nunes's good striking offense may be a factor against Tate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Nunes's average takedown offense is matched by Tate's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nunes has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nunes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nunes is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Tate 7.9
fighter Nunes 8.8
Great striking by Nunes
14 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
10 strikes Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
11 strikes Jan 07, 2011 vs Budd

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Tate 9.0
fighter Nunes 8.7
Great takedowns by Tate
4 takedowns Jul 30, 2011 vs Coenen
2 takedowns Aug 13, 2010 vs Akano
3 takedowns Mar 26, 2010 vs Frausto

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Tate 6.8
fighter Nunes 8.8
Great knockouts by Nunes
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
Round 2 Feb 25, 2010 vs Gomes
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Porto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Tate 7.8
fighter Nunes 6.6
Great submissions by Tate
Round 3 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kedzie
Round 4 Jul 30, 2011 vs Coenen
Round 2 Mar 26, 2010 vs Frausto

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Tate 7.4
fighter Nunes 8.5
Fast finishes by Nunes
236 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
128 seconds Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
600 seconds Dec 12, 2009 vs Porto
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 9, 2016UFC 200
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Tate
legend Nunes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus