UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nunes vs Carano

1,791

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nunes

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
51% chance Nunes
WILL WIN

1,782

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Amanda Nunes
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 29 years vs 35 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 175 cm vs 169 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Gina Carano
Significantly better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 173 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Nunes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Carano’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Amanda
Nunes
In 7:39, how much damage will he do? Nunes Carano
Significant Strikes35
Nunes's good striking offense may be a factor against Carano's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:39
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Nunes's average takedown offense is matched by Carano's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:39
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nunes has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Nunes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nunes is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Carano on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Nunes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gina
Carano
In 7:39, how much damage will she do? Carano Nunes
Significant Strikes36
Carano's average striking offense is matched by Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 69 Significant Strikes in 7:39
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Carano's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:39
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carano has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Carano is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carano has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nunes 8.8
fighter Carano 8.5
Great striking by Nunes
14 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
10 strikes Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
11 strikes Jan 07, 2011 vs Budd

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nunes 8.7
fighter Carano 7.9
Great takedowns by Nunes
1 takedown Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
2 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nunes 8.8
fighter Carano 7.7
Great knockouts by Nunes
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
Round 2 Feb 25, 2010 vs Gomes
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Porto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nunes 6.6
fighter Carano 7.0
Great submissions by Carano
Round 1 Sep 15, 2007 vs Evinger

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nunes 8.5
fighter Carano 7.7
Fast finishes by Nunes
236 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
128 seconds Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
600 seconds Dec 12, 2009 vs Porto
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nunes
legend Carano
Read More
Nunes vs Holm
Fantasy Cage Match
Carano vs Rousey
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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