UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nunes vs Justino

1,791

CageRank

WINNER
Justino

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
76% chance Justino
WILL WIN

1,993

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cristiane Justino
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer winning streak 7 fights vs 5 fights 40% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 173 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 144 lbs vs 136 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Amanda Nunes
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 6.6 vs 6.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 28 years vs 31 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Justino on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Nunes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiane
Justino
In 9:35, how much damage will she do? Justino Nunes
Significant Strikes56
Justino's excellent striking offense will dominate Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:35
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Justino's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Justino has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Justino is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Justino is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Nunes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Justino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Amanda
Nunes
In 9:35, how much damage will he do? Nunes Justino
Significant Strikes42
Nunes's good striking offense is matched by Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:35
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Nunes's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nunes has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nunes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nunes is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Justino 9.1
fighter Nunes 8.8
Great striking by Justino
52 strikes Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
40 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
52 strikes Jul 26, 2008 vs Baszler

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Justino 8.2
fighter Nunes 8.7
Great takedowns by Nunes
1 takedown Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
2 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Justino 9.7
fighter Nunes 8.8
Great knockouts by Justino
Round 4 Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
Round 3 Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Justino 6.2
fighter Nunes 6.6
Great submissions by Nunes
Round 1 Jul 09, 2016 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 08, 2015 vs McMann
Round 1 Jul 28, 2012 vs Pa'aluhi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Justino 8.6
fighter Nunes 8.5
Fast finishes by Justino
1142 seconds Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
820 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
299 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Justino
legend Nunes
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Justino vs Rousey
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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