UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nunes vs Pennington

1,791

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nunes

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Nunes
WILL WIN

1,667

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Amanda Nunes
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.5 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier 136 lbs vs 134 lbs Almost the same
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Raquel Pennington
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 170 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Nunes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pennington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Amanda
Nunes
In 10:15, how much damage will he do? Nunes Pennington
Significant Strikes55
Nunes's good striking offense may be a factor against Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:15
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Nunes's average takedown offense is matched by Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nunes has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nunes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Nunes is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Pennington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nunes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raquel
Pennington
In 10:15, how much damage will he do? Pennington Nunes
Significant Strikes46
Pennington's average striking offense is matched by Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Pennington's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pennington is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pennington is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pennington is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nunes 8.8
fighter Pennington 8.5
Great striking by Nunes
14 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
10 strikes Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
11 strikes Jan 07, 2011 vs Budd

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nunes 8.7
fighter Pennington 8.5
Great takedowns by Nunes
1 takedown Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
2 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nunes 8.8
fighter Pennington 6.5
Great knockouts by Nunes
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
Round 2 Feb 25, 2010 vs Gomes
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Porto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nunes 6.6
fighter Pennington 7.3
Great submissions by Pennington
Round 2 Aug 12, 2011 vs Denny
Round 1 Jan 21, 2011 vs Aldrich
Round 1 Jun 20, 2009 vs Hampton

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nunes 8.5
fighter Pennington 7.3
Fast finishes by Nunes
236 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
128 seconds Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
600 seconds Dec 12, 2009 vs Porto
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nunes
legend Pennington
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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