UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Nunes vs Gaff

1,791

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Nunes

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
68% chance Nunes
WILL WIN

1,662

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Amanda Nunes
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 175 cm vs 163 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Heavier 136 lbs vs 125 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Sheila Gaff
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Nunes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gaff’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Amanda
Nunes
In 7:31, how much damage will he do? Nunes Gaff
Significant Strikes40
Nunes's good striking offense may be a factor against Gaff's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:31
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Nunes's average takedown offense may be a factor against Gaff's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nunes has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Nunes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nunes is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gaff on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Nunes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sheila
Gaff
In 7:31, how much damage will she do? Gaff Nunes
Significant Strikes28
Gaff's average striking offense is matched by Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 68 Significant Strikes in 7:31
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gaff's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nunes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gaff is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Gaff is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gaff is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nunes 8.8
fighter Gaff 8.2
Great striking by Nunes
14 strikes Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
10 strikes Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
11 strikes Jan 07, 2011 vs Budd

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nunes 8.7
fighter Gaff 8.2
Great takedowns by Nunes
1 takedown Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
2 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nunes 8.8
fighter Gaff 7.6
Great knockouts by Nunes
Round 1 Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
Round 2 Feb 25, 2010 vs Gomes
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Porto

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nunes 6.6
fighter Gaff 6.9
Great submissions by Gaff
Round 1 Sep 26, 2009 vs Buch
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Larsen
Round 1 May 10, 2008 vs Myska

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nunes 8.5
fighter Gaff 8.2
Fast finishes by Nunes
236 seconds Nov 06, 2013 vs de Randamie
128 seconds Aug 03, 2013 vs Gaff
600 seconds Dec 12, 2009 vs Porto
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 3, 2013UFC 163
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 KO
1,6971,715
1,7501,662
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nunes
legend Gaff
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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