UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pennington vs Modafferi

1,667

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Pennington

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
60% chance Pennington
WILL WIN

1,600

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Raquel Pennington
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 7.0 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 30 years vs 36 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 6.5 vs 6.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.3 vs 7.2 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Roxanne Modafferi
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Pennington on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Modafferi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Raquel
Pennington
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pennington Modafferi
Significant Strikes81
Pennington's average striking offense may be a factor against Modafferi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Pennington's average takedown offense is matched by Modafferi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pennington is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pennington is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pennington has a chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Modafferi on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Pennington’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roxanne
Modafferi
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Modafferi Pennington
Significant Strikes69
Modafferi's average striking offense is matched by Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Modafferi's average takedown offense is matched by Pennington's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Modafferi is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Modafferi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Modafferi has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pennington 8.5
fighter Modafferi 8.4
Great striking by Pennington
80 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Modafferi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pennington 8.5
fighter Modafferi 8.1
Great takedowns by Pennington
1 takedown Nov 30, 2013 vs Modafferi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pennington 6.5
fighter Modafferi 6.3
Great knockouts by Pennington
Round 2 Mar 03, 2012 vs Couture

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pennington 7.3
fighter Modafferi 7.0
Great submissions by Pennington
Round 2 Aug 12, 2011 vs Denny
Round 1 Jan 21, 2011 vs Aldrich
Round 1 Jun 20, 2009 vs Hampton

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pennington 7.3
fighter Modafferi 7.2
Fast finishes by Pennington
232 seconds Sep 08, 2012 vs Pa'aluhi
419 seconds Aug 12, 2011 vs Denny
104 seconds Jan 21, 2011 vs Aldrich
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 30, 2013TUF 18 Finale
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
1,6631,647
1,7111,600
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pennington
legend Modafferi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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