UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Woodley vs Light

2,090

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Woodley

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance Woodley
WILL WIN

1,539

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 7.2 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 6.4 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.1 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 7.3 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.0 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 179 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly younger 34 years vs 42 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Zach Light
From what we can tell, Tyron Woodley dominates Zach Light in every way.
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Light’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 3:14, how much damage will he do? Woodley Light
Significant Strikes17
Woodley's good striking offense may be a factor against Light's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 29 Significant Strikes in 3:14
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Woodley's average takedown offense is matched by Light's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:14
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Woodley has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Light on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Zach
Light
In 3:14, how much damage will he do? Light Woodley
Significant Strikes8
Light's average striking offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 29 Significant Strikes in 3:14
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Light's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:14
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Light is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Light is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Light is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Light 8.0
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Woodley 8.5
fighter Light 6.4
Great knockouts by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
Round 1 Oct 09, 2010 vs Galvao

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Woodley 7.7
fighter Light 7.2
Great submissions by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Light
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Woods

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Light 7.2
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 25, 2009Strikeforce - Challengers 3
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R3 SUBX
1,6501,509
1,6811,478
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Woodley
legend Light
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus