UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Woodley vs Romero

2,090

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Woodley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
68% chance Woodley
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.1 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Yoel Romero
Significantly heavier hands 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Romero’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 8:23, how much damage will he do? Woodley Romero
Significant Strikes44
Woodley's good striking offense may be a factor against Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:23
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Woodley's average takedown offense is matched by Romero's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Romero on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yoel
Romero
In 8:23, how much damage will he do? Romero Woodley
Significant Strikes33
Romero's good striking offense is matched by Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:23
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Romero's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Romero has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Romero is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Romero is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Romero 8.8
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Woodley 8.4
fighter Romero 7.9
Great takedowns by Woodley
3 takedowns Jan 07, 2012 vs Mein
2 takedowns Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley
2 takedowns Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Woodley 8.5
fighter Romero 9.0
Great knockouts by Romero
Round 3 Jan 15, 2014 vs Brunson
Round 3 Nov 06, 2013 vs Markes
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Starks

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Woodley 7.7
fighter Romero 6.6
Great submissions by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Round 2 Sep 25, 2009 vs Light
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Woods

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Woodley 8.9
fighter Romero 8.1
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Woodley
legend Romero
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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