UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortiz vs Benavidez

1,940

CageRank

WINNER
Benavidez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Benavidez
WILL WIN

2,082

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joseph Benavidez
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 6.9 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.6 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Dustin Ortiz
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 28 years vs 32 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 165 cm vs 163 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Benavidez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortiz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joseph
Benavidez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Benavidez Ortiz
Significant Strikes82
Benavidez's good striking offense may be a factor against Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Benavidez's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ortiz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Benavidez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Ortiz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ortiz Benavidez
Significant Strikes57
Ortiz's average striking offense is matched by Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Ortiz's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortiz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ortiz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ortiz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Benavidez 8.8
fighter Ortiz 8.4
Great striking by Benavidez
20 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
17 strikes Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
15 strikes Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Benavidez 7.8
fighter Ortiz 8.7
Great takedowns by Ortiz
4 takedowns Nov 09, 2013 vs Maria Tome

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Ortiz 7.6
Great knockouts by Benavidez
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs da Silva
Round 2 Mar 03, 2012 vs Urushitani
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Ortiz 6.6
Great submissions by Benavidez
Round 2 Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
Round 2 Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
Round 2 Jan 17, 2008 vs Georgianna

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Benavidez 8.6
fighter Ortiz 6.9
Fast finishes by Benavidez
465 seconds Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
477 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
95 seconds Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 22, 2014UFC Fight Night 57
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Benavidez
legend Ortiz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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