UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortiz vs Reis

1,940

CageRank

WINNER
Reis

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Reis
WILL WIN

1,952

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Wilson Reis
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.6 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Dustin Ortiz
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.3 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Younger 28 years vs 32 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Taller 165 cm vs 163 cm Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Reis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortiz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Wilson
Reis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Reis Ortiz
Significant Strikes64
Reis's average striking offense is matched by Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Reis's good takedown offense may be a factor against Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Reis is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Reis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Reis has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Ortiz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Reis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Ortiz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ortiz Reis
Significant Strikes67
Ortiz's average striking offense is matched by Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Ortiz's average takedown offense is matched by Reis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortiz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ortiz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ortiz has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Reis 8.3
fighter Ortiz 8.4
Great striking by Ortiz
55 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Maria Tome

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Reis 8.8
fighter Ortiz 8.7
Great takedowns by Reis
4 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Menjivar

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Reis 6.3
fighter Ortiz 7.6
Great knockouts by Ortiz
Round 3 Nov 09, 2013 vs Maria Tome
Round 3 Dec 02, 2011 vs Rave
Round 3 Oct 09, 2010 vs Alexander

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Reis 8.4
fighter Ortiz 6.6
Great submissions by Reis
Round 3 Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
Round 1 Mar 19, 2011 vs George

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Reis 7.7
fighter Ortiz 6.9
Fast finishes by Reis
692 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Roddy
200 seconds Dec 16, 2011 vs Menezes
129 seconds Mar 19, 2011 vs George
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 30, 2016UFC on Fox 18
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Reis
legend Ortiz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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