UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortiz vs Gates

1,940

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ortiz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
86% chance Ortiz
WILL WIN

1,619

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Ortiz
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.7 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 9.0 vs 7.8 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 28 years vs 30 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Willie Gates
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 173 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Ortiz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gates’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Ortiz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortiz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ortiz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ortiz has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Gates on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortiz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Willie
Gates
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gates is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gates is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gates has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ortiz 7.6
fighter Gates 6.7
Great knockouts by Ortiz
Round 3 Nov 09, 2013 vs Maria Tome
Round 3 Dec 02, 2011 vs Rave
Round 3 Oct 09, 2010 vs Alexander

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ortiz 6.6
fighter Gates 7.4
Great submissions by Gates
Round 1 Oct 04, 2014 vs Marquez
Round 1 Apr 05, 2014 vs Casares
Round 1 Mar 24, 2013 vs Santistevan

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ortiz 6.9
fighter Gates 7.6
Fast finishes by Gates
28 seconds Mar 24, 2013 vs Santistevan
15 seconds Oct 28, 2012 vs Franklin
74 seconds Jan 02, 2011 vs Reider
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 8, 2015UFC Fight Night 73
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ortiz
legend Gates
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus