UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortiz vs Scoggins

1,940

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ortiz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
64% chance Ortiz
WILL WIN

1,836

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Ortiz
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Justin Scoggins
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 170 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Younger 26 years vs 29 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer winning streak 4 fights vs 3 fights Around 35% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Ortiz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Scoggins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Ortiz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ortiz Scoggins
Significant Strikes60
Ortiz's average striking offense is matched by Scoggins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Ortiz's average takedown offense is matched by Scoggins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortiz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ortiz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ortiz has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Scoggins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortiz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Scoggins
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Scoggins Ortiz
Significant Strikes73
Scoggins's average striking offense is matched by Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Scoggins's good takedown offense may be a factor against Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Scoggins has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Scoggins is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Scoggins has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ortiz 8.4
fighter Scoggins 8.5
Great striking by Scoggins
27 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ortiz 8.7
fighter Scoggins 8.8
Great takedowns by Scoggins
2 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ortiz 7.6
fighter Scoggins 8.5
Great knockouts by Scoggins
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik
Round 1 Mar 08, 2013 vs Cain
Round 5 Dec 07, 2012 vs Hebeisen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ortiz 6.6
fighter Scoggins 6.6
Great submissions by Scoggins
Round 1 May 12, 2012 vs Large

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ortiz 6.9
fighter Scoggins 8.0
Fast finishes by Scoggins
283 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Vaculik
237 seconds Mar 08, 2013 vs Cain
1425 seconds Dec 07, 2012 vs Hebeisen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 6, 2014TUF 19 Finale
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ortiz
legend Scoggins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus