UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortiz vs Maria Tome

1,940

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ortiz

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
65% chance Ortiz
WILL WIN

1,834

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Ortiz
Significantly heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 28 years vs 35 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 165 cm vs 163 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Jose Maria Tome
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Ortiz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maria Tome’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Ortiz
In 14:10, how much damage will he do? Ortiz Maria Tome
Significant Strikes66
Ortiz's average striking offense is matched by Maria Tome's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 128 Significant Strikes in 14:10
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Ortiz's average takedown offense may be a factor against Maria Tome's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 14:10
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortiz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ortiz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ortiz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Maria Tome on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortiz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Maria Tome
In 14:10, how much damage will he do? Maria Tome Ortiz
Significant Strikes65
Maria Tome's average striking offense is matched by Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 128 Significant Strikes in 14:10
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Maria Tome's average takedown offense is matched by Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 14:10
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maria Tome is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maria Tome is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maria Tome is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ortiz 7.6
fighter Maria Tome 7.0
Great knockouts by Ortiz
Round 3 Nov 09, 2013 vs Maria Tome
Round 3 Dec 02, 2011 vs Rave
Round 3 Oct 09, 2010 vs Alexander

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ortiz 6.6
fighter Maria Tome 8.0
Great submissions by Maria Tome
Round 2 Feb 23, 2013 vs Bulldog
Round 1 Oct 01, 2011 vs Esquilo
Round 2 Apr 04, 2008 vs Moreira

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ortiz 6.9
fighter Maria Tome 8.0
Fast finishes by Maria Tome
380 seconds Oct 20, 2012 vs Leonardo
215 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Esquilo
461 seconds Nov 08, 2009 vs Alves
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 9, 2013UFC Fight Night 32
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,8221,893
1,8821,833
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ortiz
legend Maria Tome
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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