UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortiz vs Nicolau Pereira

1,940

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Ortiz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
72% chance Ortiz
WILL WIN

1,778

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Ortiz
Significantly stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.4 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Matheus Nicolau Pereira
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.6 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 25 years vs 29 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Ortiz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nicolau Pereira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Ortiz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortiz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ortiz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Ortiz has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Nicolau Pereira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortiz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matheus
Nicolau Pereira
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nicolau Pereira is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nicolau Pereira is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nicolau Pereira has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ortiz 7.6
fighter Nicolau Pereira 7.4
Great knockouts by Ortiz
Round 3 Nov 09, 2013 vs Maria Tome
Round 3 Dec 02, 2011 vs Rave
Round 3 Oct 09, 2010 vs Alexander

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ortiz 6.6
fighter Nicolau Pereira 7.2
Great submissions by Nicolau Pereira
Round 1 Mar 10, 2012 vs Daboville
Round 2 Oct 15, 2011 vs Pighiera
Round 1 Aug 07, 2010 vs Alves Chalita

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ortiz 6.9
fighter Nicolau Pereira 7.6
Fast finishes by Nicolau Pereira
849 seconds Sep 21, 2012 vs Passos Vargas
300 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Silva
95 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Alves Chalita
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 28, 2018UFC on Fox 30
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ortiz
legend Nicolau Pereira
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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