UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cason vs St. Preux

1,743

CageRank

WINNER
St. Preux

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance St. Preux
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ovince St. Preux
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.0 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Cason
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
St. Preux on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cason’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ovince
St. Preux
In 5:24, how much damage will he do? St. Preux Cason
Significant Strikes31
St. Preux's good striking offense may be a factor against Cason's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:24
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
St. Preux's average takedown offense is matched by Cason's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Preux has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Preux has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
St. Preux is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Cason on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Preux’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Cason
In 5:24, how much damage will he do? Cason St. Preux
Significant Strikes25
Cason's average striking offense is matched by St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:24
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cason's average takedown offense won't be a factor against St. Preux's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cason has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cason is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cason is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Preux 8.7
fighter Cason 8.5
Great striking by St. Preux
6 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
47 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Villante
82 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Radach

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Preux 8.1
fighter Cason 8.2
Great knockouts by Cason
Round 1 May 06, 2011 vs Salmon
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Nunez
Round 1 Nov 07, 2009 vs Gordon

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Preux 7.9
fighter Cason 6.8
Great submissions by St. Preux
Round 1 Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
Round 1 Apr 25, 2009 vs Mobley
Round 1 May 17, 2008 vs Cormier

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Preux 9.0
fighter Cason 8.5
Fast finishes by St. Preux
127 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Donovan
72 seconds Jul 22, 2011 vs Cason
8 seconds Jul 24, 2010 vs Day
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 KO
1,7751,905
1,7431,938
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Preux
legend Cason
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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