UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sexton vs Brown

1,721

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sexton

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
73% chance Sexton
WILL WIN

1,548

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ariel Sexton
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 7.8 vs 7.4 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Humberto Brown
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Sexton on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ariel
Sexton
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sexton has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Sexton has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Sexton is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sexton’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Humberto
Brown
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sexton 7.2
fighter Brown 6.5
Great knockouts by Sexton
Round 3 Jul 02, 2016 vs Huerta
Round 1 Jun 15, 2013 vs Davis
Round 2 Jun 28, 2007 vs Salgado

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sexton 7.9
fighter Brown 7.4
Great submissions by Sexton
Round 2 Feb 01, 2008 vs Merola
Round 1 Dec 01, 2006 vs Salazar
Round 1 Apr 10, 2006 vs Donaldson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sexton 8.2
fighter Brown 7.3
Fast finishes by Sexton
368 seconds Feb 01, 2008 vs Merola
298 seconds Dec 01, 2006 vs Salazar
41 seconds Apr 10, 2006 vs Donaldson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,6531,502
1,6831,472
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sexton
legend Brown
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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