UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Charles vs Belfort

1,381

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 5.8 More than 70% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 6.4 More than 55% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 6.6 More than 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.7 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.9 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much younger 40 years vs 59 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Charles
Much heavier 259 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 40% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.5 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Charles’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 1:38, how much damage will he do? Belfort Charles
Significant Strikes9
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Charles's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 15 Significant Strikes in 1:38
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense is matched by Charles's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:38
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Below average
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Charles on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Charles
In 1:38, how much damage will he do? Charles Belfort
Significant Strikes2
Charles's average striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 15 Significant Strikes in 1:38
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Charles's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:38
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Charles is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Charles is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Charles is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Charles 8.1
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Charles 5.8
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Charles 6.7
Great submissions by Belfort
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 1 Mar 25, 2001 vs Southworth
Round 1 Dec 21, 1997 vs Charles

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Charles 6.5
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,4991,651
1,4691,680
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Charles
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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