UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ferrozzo vs Belfort

1,597

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
97% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 7.0 Around 45% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.3 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.7 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.8 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly younger 39 years vs 51 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Scott Ferrozzo
Much heavier 322 lbs vs 184 lbs 75% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferrozzo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 1:47, how much damage will he do? Belfort Ferrozzo
Significant Strikes10
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Ferrozzo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 16 Significant Strikes in 1:47
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ferrozzo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:47
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ferrozzo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Scott
Ferrozzo
In 1:47, how much damage will he do? Ferrozzo Belfort
Significant Strikes3
Ferrozzo's average striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 16 Significant Strikes in 1:47
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Ferrozzo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferrozzo is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ferrozzo is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ferrozzo is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Ferrozzo 8.2
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Ferrozzo 8.4
Great takedowns by Ferrozzo
2 takedowns Feb 07, 1997 vs Mullen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Ferrozzo 7.4
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Ferrozzo 6.9
Great submissions by Belfort
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 1 Mar 25, 2001 vs Southworth
Round 1 Dec 21, 1997 vs Charles

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Ferrozzo 7.0
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 7, 1997UFC 12
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R1 KOX
1,6521,618
1,5971,672
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Ferrozzo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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