UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Godsey vs Nelson

1,590

CageRank

WINNER
Nelson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
91% chance Nelson
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Roy Nelson
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 5.6 Around 70% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 7.4 More than 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.4 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly younger 41 years vs 54 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Advantages for Jason Godsey
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Nelson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Godsey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roy
Nelson
In 2:56, how much damage will he do? Nelson Godsey
Significant Strikes12
Nelson's average striking offense is matched by Godsey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 26 Significant Strikes in 2:56
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Nelson's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Godsey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 2:56
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nelson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nelson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Nelson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Godsey on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jason
Godsey
In 2:56, how much damage will he do? Godsey Nelson
Significant Strikes13
Godsey's average striking offense may be a factor against Nelson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 26 Significant Strikes in 2:56
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Godsey's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nelson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 2:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Godsey is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Godsey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Godsey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nelson 8.4
fighter Godsey 8.1
Great striking by Nelson
2 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Kongo
2 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Herman
9 strikes Mar 31, 2010 vs Struve

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nelson 9.4
fighter Godsey 5.6
Great knockouts by Nelson
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Kongo
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Herman
Round 1 Mar 31, 2010 vs Struve

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nelson 6.7
fighter Godsey 8.2
Great submissions by Godsey
Round 1 Feb 21, 2003 vs Guillen
Round 1 Jul 20, 1997 vs Kondo
Round 1 May 10, 1997 vs Horn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nelson 9.2
fighter Godsey 7.6
Fast finishes by Nelson
123 seconds Apr 27, 2013 vs Kongo
51 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Herman
39 seconds Mar 31, 2010 vs Struve
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,6301,698
1,5901,739
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nelson
legend Godsey
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus