UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Rutten vs Emelianenko

2,056

CageRank

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
68% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,189

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly younger 41 years vs 53 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Bas Rutten
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rutten’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 8:54, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Rutten
Significant Strikes48
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Rutten's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:54
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Emelianenko's average takedown offense is matched by Rutten's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rutten on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bas
Rutten
In 8:54, how much damage will he do? Rutten Emelianenko
Significant Strikes19
Rutten's average striking offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:54
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rutten's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:54
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rutten has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rutten is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rutten is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Rutten 8.4
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Rutten 7.9
Great takedowns by Emelianenko
4 takedowns Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
5 takedowns Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
1 takedown Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Rutten 8.5
Great knockouts by Emelianenko
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Rogers
Round 1 Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Nov 24, 2002 vs Herring

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Rutten 7.9
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Rutten 8.3
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Rutten
Read More
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Emelianenko vs Sonnen
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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