UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Serdyukov vs Hendricks

1,770

CageRank

WINNER
Hendricks

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
94% chance Hendricks
WILL WIN

2,259

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Johny Hendricks
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Alex Serdyukov
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.7 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly longer reach 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Hendricks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Serdyukov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Johny
Hendricks
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hendricks Serdyukov
Significant Strikes95
Hendricks's excellent striking offense will dominate Serdyukov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Hendricks's good takedown offense may be a factor against Serdyukov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hendricks has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hendricks is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Hendricks has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Serdyukov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hendricks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alex
Serdyukov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Serdyukov Hendricks
Significant Strikes48
Serdyukov's average striking offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Serdyukov's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Hendricks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Serdyukov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Serdyukov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Serdyukov is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hendricks 9.2
fighter Serdyukov 8.3
Great striking by Hendricks
30 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
55 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
2 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hendricks 9.1
fighter Serdyukov 8.2
Great takedowns by Hendricks
12 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Condit
2 takedowns May 05, 2012 vs Koscheck
1 takedown Aug 06, 2011 vs Pierce

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Serdyukov 7.8
Great knockouts by Hendricks
Round 1 Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
Round 1 Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
Round 2 Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hendricks 6.7
fighter Serdyukov 7.8
Great submissions by Serdyukov
Round 1 Mar 26, 2008 vs Stonitsch
Round 2 Mar 24, 2007 vs Norton
Round 2 Mar 17, 2005 vs Weir

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hendricks 8.7
fighter Serdyukov 8.3
Fast finishes by Hendricks
46 seconds Nov 17, 2012 vs Kampmann
12 seconds Dec 30, 2011 vs Fitch
340 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Brenneman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 1, 2009WEC 39
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
R2 SUBX
1,8411,685
1,7701,756
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hendricks
legend Serdyukov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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