UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cummins vs Cavalcante

1,787

CageRank

WINNER
Cavalcante

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
65% chance Cavalcante
WILL WIN

1,897

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rafael Cavalcante
Significantly heavier hands 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Advantages for Patrick Cummins
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 194 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Slightly harder to hit 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Cavalcante on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cummins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
Cavalcante
In 6:52, how much damage will he do? Cavalcante Cummins
Significant Strikes42
Cavalcante's excellent striking offense will dominate Cummins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:52
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cavalcante's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cummins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:52
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cavalcante has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Cavalcante is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Cavalcante is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cummins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cavalcante’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Patrick
Cummins
In 6:52, how much damage will he do? Cummins Cavalcante
Significant Strikes40
Cummins's good striking offense may be a factor against Cavalcante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 62 Significant Strikes in 6:52
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Cummins's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cavalcante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:52
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cummins is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cummins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cummins is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cavalcante 9.0
fighter Cummins 8.7
Great striking by Cavalcante
16 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Pokrajac
39 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Lawal
14 strikes May 15, 2010 vs Britt

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cavalcante 9.2
fighter Cummins 7.9
Great knockouts by Cavalcante
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Pokrajac
Round 3 Aug 21, 2010 vs Lawal
Round 1 May 15, 2010 vs Britt

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cavalcante 6.7
fighter Cummins 7.3
Great submissions by Cummins
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Smalls
Round 1 Jan 21, 2012 vs Edwards

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cavalcante 8.7
fighter Cummins 8.0
Fast finishes by Cavalcante
78 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Pokrajac
674 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Lawal
225 seconds May 15, 2010 vs Britt
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 1, 2015UFC 190
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cavalcante
legend Cummins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Bullshit
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